- tickerville Feb. 21 at 11:08 AM #
- @BullishBeauty LOL didn’t lose mucho dinero. Avoided tech crash due to fundos for clients. But when I learned TA I never went back. $$
- BHBGroupTrader Feb. 21 at 11:07 AM #
- $dv tgt on weekly is 33.40 area
- BHBGroupTrader Feb. 21 at 11:07 AM #
- @tickerville wowsers just pulled up a weekly $dv chart….short of all shorts for next few months….huge cause and a UT on the weekly
- tickerville Feb. 21 at 11:06 AM #
- @MissTrade Bingo. But you already know this because I have followed your phenom work! $$
- tickerville Feb. 21 at 11:05 AM #
- @JST4FSH Oh, you speak music to my ears!!! That is the attitude to have my friend. $$
- CubbieBears Feb. 21 at 11:05 AM #
- @BHBGroupTrader I actually think $CF is good short if mkt cracks..big bear flag on a monthly chart..but does look decent IF it got thru 58
- BHBGroupTrader Feb. 21 at 11:05 AM #
- @MissTrade price and volume imo $$
- stevenplace Feb. 21 at 11:04 AM #
- @EverettStuckey you’re right, but it’s a close enough approximation for traders $$
- tickerville Feb. 21 at 11:04 AM #
- Now, let’s look at another educational stock, that I got short this week on the big break. $DV
- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 11:04 AM #
- @brasil61 @ppearlman agree there is no intrinsic value & trru depression will hit $GLD; BUT intrinsic ‘consensus’ makes it ultimate fiat
- BHBGroupTrader Feb. 21 at 11:04 AM #
- @MissTrade $Es_f has a good case of retesting 910 area…which would form its new lower TR for next few months before next leg down to 620
- tickerville Feb. 21 at 11:04 AM #
- @BHBGroupTrader Yes, it’s putting up a fight for now. $$
- CubbieBears Feb. 21 at 11:03 AM #
- I don’t like thae fact he 10 and 20 DMA’s are curling down on$APOL $$
- tickerville Feb. 21 at 11:03 AM #
- But there is a very good risk reward for starting short in anticipation, with a stop above distribution day. $84.22 $$
- EverettStuckey Feb. 21 at 11:03 AM #
- @stevenplace u know u dont actually “have”probabilities right re: taleb.? kelly criterion only works with fixed and known outcomes & prob $$
- tickerville Feb. 21 at 11:02 AM #
- So in conclusion, the reactionary short on $APOL is to wait for a break back below $76.30. $$
- aiki14 Feb. 21 at 11:02 AM #
- $APOL not aug the point is in Jul
- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 11:01 AM #
- @llboyd Good Thought; if you have discipline/patience to pursue wulti-faceted inflation hedge strat: $GLD will catch gen’l thrust of that
- aiki14 Feb. 21 at 11:01 AM #
- @tickerville Channel on the daily 1 yr could run it back to 65 based on points in aug and oct, then up to 100 $APOL
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- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 10:59 AM #
- @jaltucher buy stock of likely suitors on weakness (tech timing of course); or buy Twitter/STwits on pullback after IPO (go Howard!!) $$
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- JST4FSH Feb. 21 at 10:59 AM #
- $APOL is at important level.. with averages working against them… i say GUILTY.. but volume is key..thats on 30 day
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- BHBGroupTrader Feb. 21 at 10:58 AM #
- $CF another one like $vmi that i am watching very closely for a jump over recent channel
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- EverettStuckey Feb. 21 at 10:58 AM #
- @ericjackson whatever. how do you think all the real estate barrons made their money… levered and long the bubble. the jig is up $$
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- CubbieBears Feb. 21 at 10:57 AM #
- @tickerville $APOLhas had a lot of distribution and clinging to the 50DMA…if mkt cracks this will crack down to 200DMA near 65ish imho $$
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- jaltucher Feb. 21 at 10:56 AM #
- @JasonRaznick, interesting factoid about $cpb is that its the best performing stock after a hurricane. its always up after a hurricane
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- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 10:56 AM #
- @ jaltucher Want to be contrarian? India & esp China temporary Malthusioan limit during downturn?? West’s benefit from own weakness $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:56 AM #
- Let’s break down that $APOL. Here is one that is quite interesting to me . $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:55 AM #
- @Prospectus Explain a bit more. When I say probabilities, I am referring to how many times your trading edge works out. $$
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- stevenplace Feb. 21 at 10:55 AM #
- @Prospectus since we only have probabilities, we manage this through position sizing and risk management $$
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- darin_f Feb. 21 at 10:55 AM #
- @EverettStuckey If we have a crisis $GLD is worthless. Are people going to sell their shares, turn it into dollars and withdraw from ATM?
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- Prospectus Feb. 21 at 10:54 AM #
- @tickerville But probabilities are only historical and can change at any time. You have to adapt somehow. How do you do that? $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:54 AM #
- @powitz No, but interesting. Fought hard to live on Friday. $$
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- llboyd Feb. 21 at 10:53 AM #
- @MacroMeister $$ couldn’t agree more re: fiat currency. but IMO there are much better commodities to go lng on. $GLD not only alt to cash
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- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 10:53 AM #
- @aiki14 no different from ‘shiny rock’ that has total consensus on alt store of val; u r right, it will eventually implode as well LOL $$
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- Prospectus Feb. 21 at 10:53 AM #
- @tickerville May I ask how you can take a position without making some kind of prediction? $$
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- EverettStuckey Feb. 21 at 10:52 AM #
- @stevenplace you should never bet against taleb, him and soros are the only two people that actually understand the market $$
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- EverettStuckey Feb. 21 at 10:51 AM #
- @ppearlman proof people *believe* gold has inherent value. people used to think their house would always go up in value too $$
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- aiki14 Feb. 21 at 10:51 AM #
- @tickerville And I am trading short term intraday, In my longer term portfolio I would be long $AZO
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:51 AM #
- I am not smarter than the market. I am simply here to try and play along and take more out than I put in. $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:50 AM #
- I only started making real money, and avoided 70 year melt down for all my clients due to Technical Analysis. $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:50 AM #
- Style is often correlated with your personality. I come from value background. Would NEVER go back. $$
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- BHBGroupTrader Feb. 21 at 10:50 AM #
- @ericjackson COMM RE stocks are toast because they r public and not properly managed as a family would manage their own props $$
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- ericjackson Feb. 21 at 10:49 AM #
- @BHBGroupTrader they quoted CS analyst “Poison Ivy” who said NY real estate historically priced 4.4:1 income, shot up to 7+ & still near $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:49 AM #
- Making consistent money in the market is not easy. For those who say it is, they are lying. We all have to find our own style that works $$
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- aiki14 Feb. 21 at 10:49 AM #
- @tickerville Tough in 140 words but the flattening of the upcurve from 2pm when the market was in rally is part $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:49 AM #
- It’s always a good debate and I have learned that I will never ‘convince’ anyone. My goal is to teach those who desire to learn. $$
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- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 10:49 AM #
- @llboyd endless confidence in fiat currency = Lesser Buying Power Theory; wait’ll u see what happens when econs finally do bottom LOL $$
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- jworthy Feb. 21 at 10:47 AM #
- I’ve been short commercial re for awhile and it’s been quite profitable so far ($ess, slg, mac)
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:46 AM #
- @aiki14 Tell me your data analysis for $AZO being a short? You may be dead right, but you are guessing $$
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- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 10:46 AM #
- @jranft That depends on whether u r a stock picker or index tracking investor. $$
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- aiki14 Feb. 21 at 10:46 AM #
- @tickerville I don’t see how that differs from making a prediction based on data analysis $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:45 AM #
- Themes are fine, but make sure you wait for a clear indication that your theme is correct. $$
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- ericjackson Feb. 21 at 10:45 AM #
- @BHBGroupTrader they interview a HF/MF guy who says commercial real estate just starting to crack; 30-50% drop for those stocks forward $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:45 AM #
- Over the last 10 years, my biggest mistake has been playing a theme before a technical picture arrived $$
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- steenbab Feb. 21 at 10:45 AM #
- @jsfalvo Thanks for the suggestion to join the community & conversation. Happy to share my AM $SPY indicator posts, pivot targets, etc.
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- jranft Feb. 21 at 10:45 AM #
- I’m seriously thinking of parking everything I have in cash or $TIP and $GLD. Is there any reason to be in these markets r http://is.gd/klzP
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- JST4FSH Feb. 21 at 10:44 AM #
- im watching $SMH for a 17 break on volume on long side……
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- MacroMeister Feb. 21 at 10:43 AM #
- @aiki14 …and there is no such thing as ‘time’ in physical world, but you still look at incremental advance of reality on charts LOL $$
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- yaksierra Feb. 21 at 10:43 AM #
- @tickerville What is your view on $CSCO?
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- ppearlman Feb. 21 at 10:43 AM #
- @EverettStuckey yet weve seen days recently gld and usd both higher = lack of confidnce in cntrl banks more proof of inhernt value gold $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:43 AM #
- Trading is about identifying opportunities. The quantifiable opportunity gives you your edge. Probabilities give you your profits. $$
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- BHBGroupTrader Feb. 21 at 10:43 AM #
- @ericjackson housing wise agree….investment props are still being bought $$
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:42 AM #
- @aiki14 No, that is where you are completely wrong. $$
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- dojimaster Feb. 21 at 10:42 AM #
- @tickerville frustated fortune tellers $$
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- JST4FSH Feb. 21 at 10:41 AM #
- $$ WHY work harder than you have to and take risk?? Gets me but makes making money easier
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- tickerville Feb. 21 at 10:41 AM #
- @carzz Not really. Just looking for technical signs to move in. Refiner crack was a stretch but it has me looking at it now. $$
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- powitz Feb. 21 at 10:41 AM #
- simple banking question - if fed funds are at 0%, can’t $BAC, $C et al continue in a perpetual way? until fed blows up, or raises rates?
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- aiki14 Feb. 21 at 10:40 AM #
- @tickerville Are you not making a prediction on every trade? It’s merely an outgrowth of that $$
